Welcome to Volume #5 of our 2018 Bowman Draft Base Auto Pricing Ladder. This week we see some fascinating movements across the top-to-middle of the order. There is really only about 3-4 weeks before we really start to see these prices move in various directions (Spring Training)…so any of the larger movements now are for two reasons:
- Additional Hype / Anticipation is building/declining for a prospect.
- Print Runs are are being better understood.
In this weeks release – pay attention to the volume indicators. These are helpful to understand where the “buyers” are spending their money. The next couple weeks you’ll start to see more of these high upside guys get swallowed up and volume will ramp. For instance, look at the comparison between.
Mason Denaburg – moved up 26% (relative increase) this week… but only saw 6 transactions. This placed him near the bottom of overall volume.
VS
Carlos Cortes – moved up 21% (relative increase) but saw 20 transactions. This put him in the Top 85%.
If I’m trying to find out where folks are investing their money, I’d look for volume and price indicators to work in tandem. In this particular case I’d be much more interested in snagging some Cortes auto’s.
At the bottom of the report I tossed in a few charts that intrigue me. I’m not necessarily recommending any particular player, just showing you what the data is potentially telling us. Let’s dive into this.
If you are curious about last year’s Bowman Draft Ladder — Check out the 10+ releases of the 2017 Bowman Draft Ladders
And as always, jump into the FORUMS to discuss this in-depth.
🔥 THE HOT 5 🔥
This week we highlight the Top 5 PRICE INCREASES since the last report (1/3/19)
- Will Banfield (46)|| UP 9 Spots & 36% !! || $5.11 || Find his Draft Autos HERE
- Ryan Jeffers – Twins (33) || UP 7 Spots & 10%!! || $7.84 || Find his Draft Autos HERE
- Tyler Frank – Rays (55) || UP 7 Spots & 46% || $3.77 || Find his Draft Autos HERE
- Jayson Schroeder – Astros (53)|| UP 6 Spots & 15% || $3.93 || Find his Draft Autos HERE
- Connor Scott – Marlins (22) || UP 5 Spots & 16% || $14.12 || Find his Draft Autos HERE
2018 Bowman Draft Auto Pricing
Report for auctions ending through December 28th, 2018
Overall Average Base Chrome Prospect Sales Price = $20.72 (-11%)
Volume this week: Down 8%
#1 – Nolan Gorman
Average Base Auto Sold Price = $131.02
Relative Price % Change = +10%
Sales Volume Analysis = A+
Last Week Rank = 1
eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.
#2: Jarred Kelenic
Average Base Auto Sold Price = $51.17
Relative Price % Change = -6%
Sales Volume Analysis = A+
Last Week Rank = 2
eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.
#3 – Alec Bohm
Average Base Auto Sold Price = $44.99
Relative Price % Change = -8%
Sales Volume Analysis = B-
Last Week Rank = 3
eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.
#4 – Nick Madrigal
Average Base Auto Sold Price = $44.71
Relative Price % Change = +17%
Sales Volume Analysis = A-
Last Week Rank = 7
eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’s ending now.
#5 – Casey Mize
Average Base Auto Sold Price = $41.87
Relative Price % Change = -7%
Sales Volume Analysis = B
Last Week Rank = 3
eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.
#6 – Triston Casas
Average Base Auto Sold Price = $41.06
Relative Price % Change = +9%
Sales Volume Analysis = D
Last Week Rank = 8
eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.
#7 – Jonathan India
Average Base Auto Sold Price = $40.21
Relative Price % Change = -9%
Sales Volume Analysis = C-
Last Week Rank = 5
eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.
#8 – Nico Hoerner
Average Base Auto Sold Price = $38.69
Relative Price % Change = +2%
Sales Volume Analysis = B
Last Week Rank = 6
eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.
#9: Grant Lavigne
Average Base Auto Sold Price = $34.42
Relative Price % Change = -2%
Sales Volume Analysis = B-
Last Week Rank = 9
eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.
#10 – Jordan Groshans
Average Base Auto Sold Price = $32.37
Relative Price % Change = -5%
Sales Volume Analysis = C-
Last Week Rank = 10
eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.
INTERESTING WEEKLY CHARTS
Here are a few charts that might be presenting an opportunity. They stuck out to me amongst all of the data from the week.
#1 – Nick Schnell – Tampa Bay Rays
Average Base Auto Sold Price = $12.22
Relative Price % Change = +42%
Sales Volume Analysis = B-
eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.
#2 – Will Banfield – Miami Marlins
Average Base Auto Sold Price = $5.11
Relative Price % Change = +36%
Sales Volume Analysis = A-
eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.
TOP TEAMS (by Avg Auto Sales)
Looking for some help as you enter breaks? Here are the TOP TEAMS by average auto price and weighted with the QTY of players for each team.
Find Bowman Draft Breaks >>>>> ENDING RIGHT HERE <<<<<
Overall Ranking
Here are the OVERALL pricing for all rookies.
Current Pricing for 2018 Bowman Draft Jumbo / Super Jumbo Boxes: RIGHT HERE
Criteria
We run reports on all prospects’ Bowman Draft BASE AUTO sales for a given period. We exclude any variation, auto, insert, graded, or memorabilia prices to make sure you are getting a good representation of the actual base auto pricing. We use Base Auto prices as a baseline because they are considered by many to be the de facto standard for “base” prospect cards for MLB players. We also do our best to remove the countless MISLABELED listings for players, but there is always a chance a random auction can slightly skew the #’s. We’ll keep a close eye.
**NOTE**
Last week we added a new component to the pricing… RELATIVE % change. Instead of just giving you the raw % change week over week, we are factoring in the OVERALL price change for Average Auto prices. This is intended to give you a more realistic picture to how a player is performing against the rest of the field. This also helps remove some of general market pullback that occurs with product releases.
