HomeInsightsBASEBALL2018 Bowman Draft Pricing Ladder | 1/11/19 | Vol: 5 | Avg...

2018 Bowman Draft Pricing Ladder | 1/11/19 | Vol: 5 | Avg Down 11% | Madrigal, Gorman, & Schnell rise to the occasion!

Welcome to Volume #5 of our 2018 Bowman Draft Base Auto Pricing Ladder. This week we see some fascinating movements across the top-to-middle of the order. There is really only about 3-4 weeks before we really start to see these prices move in various directions (Spring Training)…so any of the larger movements now are for two reasons:

  1. Additional Hype / Anticipation is building/declining for a prospect.
  2. Print Runs are are being better understood.

In this weeks release – pay attention to the volume indicators. These are helpful to understand where the “buyers” are spending their money. The next couple weeks you’ll start to see more of these high upside guys get swallowed up and volume will ramp. For instance, look at the comparison between.

Mason Denaburgmoved up 26% (relative increase) this week… but only saw 6 transactions. This placed him near the bottom of overall volume.

VS

Carlos Cortesmoved up 21% (relative increase) but saw 20 transactions. This put him in the Top 85%.

If I’m trying to find out where folks are investing their money, I’d look for volume and price indicators to work in tandem. In this particular case I’d be much more interested in snagging some Cortes auto’s.

At the bottom of the report I tossed in a few charts that intrigue me. I’m not necessarily recommending any particular player, just showing you what the data is potentially telling us.¬† Let’s dive into this.

If you are curious about last year’s Bowman Draft Ladder — Check out the 10+ releases of the 2017 Bowman Draft Ladders

And as always, jump into the FORUMS to discuss this in-depth.


ūüĒ•¬†THE HOT 5 ūüĒ•

This week we highlight the Top 5 PRICE INCREASES since the last report (1/3/19)

  • Will Banfield (46)|| UP 9 Spots & 36% !!¬†|| $5.11 || Find his Draft Autos¬†HERE
  • Ryan Jeffers – Twins (33)¬†||¬†UP 7 Spots & 10%!!¬†|| $7.84 ||¬†Find his Draft Autos¬†HERE
  • Tyler Frank – Rays (55)¬†|| UP 7 Spots & 46% || $3.77 ||¬† Find his Draft Autos¬†HERE
  • Jayson Schroeder – Astros (53)|| UP 6 Spots & 15% || $3.93 ||¬†Find his Draft Autos¬†HERE
  • Connor Scott – Marlins (22)¬†|| UP 5 Spots & 16% || $14.12 ||¬†Find his Draft Autos¬†HERE

2018 Bowman Draft Auto Pricing

Report for auctions ending through December 28th, 2018

Overall Average Base Chrome Prospect Sales Price = $20.72    (-11%)

Volume this week: Down 8%


#1 – Nolan Gorman

Average Base Auto Sold Price  = $131.02

Relative Price % Change  = +10%

Sales Volume Analysis = A+

Last Week Rank  = 1

eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.


#2: Jarred Kelenic

Average Base Auto Sold Price  = $51.17

Relative Price % Change  = -6%

Sales Volume Analysis = A+

Last Week Rank  = 2

eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.


#3 – Alec Bohm

Average Base Auto Sold Price  = $44.99

Relative Price % Change  = -8%

Sales Volume Analysis = B-

Last Week Rank  = 3

eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.


#4 – Nick Madrigal

Average Base Auto Sold Price  = $44.71

Relative Price % Change  = +17%

Sales Volume Analysis =  A-

Last Week Rank  = 7

eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’s ending now.


#5 – Casey Mize

Average Base Auto Sold Price  = $41.87

Relative Price % Change  = -7%

Sales Volume Analysis = B

Last Week Rank  = 3

eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.


#6 – Triston Casas

Average Base Auto Sold Price  = $41.06

Relative Price % Change  = +9%

Sales Volume Analysis = D

Last Week Rank  = 8

eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.


#7 – Jonathan India

Average Base Auto Sold Price  = $40.21

Relative Price % Change  = -9%

Sales Volume Analysis = C-  

Last Week Rank  = 5

eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.


#8 – Nico Hoerner

Average Base Auto Sold Price  = $38.69

Relative Price % Change  = +2%

Sales Volume Analysis = B

Last Week Rank  = 6

eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.


#9: Grant Lavigne

Average Base Auto Sold Price  = $34.42

Relative Price % Change  = -2%

Sales Volume Analysis = B-

Last Week Rank  = 9

eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.


#10 – Jordan Groshans

Average Base Auto Sold Price  = $32.37

Relative Price % Change  = -5%

Sales Volume Analysis = C-

Last Week Rank  = 10

eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.


INTERESTING WEEKLY CHARTS

Here are a few charts that might be presenting an opportunity. They stuck out to me amongst all of the data from the week.

#1 – Nick Schnell – Tampa Bay Rays

Average Base Auto Sold Price  = $12.22

Relative Price % Change  = +42%

Sales Volume Analysis = B-

eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.

#2 – Will Banfield – Miami Marlins

Average Base Auto Sold Price  = $5.11

Relative Price % Change  = +36%

Sales Volume Analysis = A-

eBay: CLICK HERE to see his AUTO’S ending now.


TOP TEAMS (by Avg Auto Sales)

Looking for some help as you enter breaks? Here are the TOP TEAMS by average auto price and weighted with the QTY of players for each team.

Find Bowman Draft Breaks >>>>> ENDING RIGHT HERE <<<<<


Overall Ranking

Here are the OVERALL pricing for all rookies.

Current Pricing for 2018 Bowman Draft Jumbo / Super Jumbo Boxes: RIGHT HERE

Criteria

We run reports on all prospects‚Äô Bowman Draft BASE AUTO sales for a given period. We exclude any variation, auto, insert, graded, or memorabilia prices to make sure you are getting a good representation of the actual base auto pricing. We use Base Auto prices as a baseline because they are considered by many to be the¬†de facto standard¬†for ‚Äúbase‚ÄĚ prospect cards for MLB players. We also do our best to remove the countless MISLABELED listings for players, but there is always a chance a random auction can slightly skew the #‚Äôs. We‚Äôll keep a close eye.

**NOTE**

Last week we added a new component to the pricing… RELATIVE % change. Instead of just giving you the raw % change week over week, we are factoring in the OVERALL price change for Average Auto prices. This is intended to give you a more realistic picture to how a player is performing against the rest of the field. This also helps remove some of general market pullback that occurs with product releases.


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Have any thoughts?

Share them below or jump into the forums to discuss.

Email us at: ty@breakerculture.com

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